The Chinese slowdown should not be underestimated for its depth and impact. It is much more severe than expected and is attributable to a lot more than just the Covid-19 lockdowns … by Daniel Lacalle on Mises Institute: The lockdowns have an enormous impact. Twenty-six of 31 China mainland provinces have rising covid cases and the […]
Michael Snyder: Is “meltdown” the correct term for the current state of the US economy?
There are some who have suggested “stagflation” is a good description of current economic conditions, but the truth is we are facing something so much worse than anything that we dealt with during the 1970s … by Michael Snyder on The Economic Collapse Blog: I have really been struggling to come up with an […]
David Haggith: Why the Fed will fail to fight inflation until the recession beats it down
You cannot grow a turnip in a pile of dollar bills unless you let them rot first. Depending on the road the Fed takes, that could become the dollar’s highest value and the best the Fed can do to reduce food shortages … by David Haggith on The Great Recession Blog: Whether the dollar decays […]
Doug Noland: Global quagmire (Fed’s in bubble trouble)
The Global Bubble, several decades in the making, is in the process of bursting. A new cycle is emerging, replete with extraordinary uncertainties. Acute instability has become a permanent feature, at least through the cycle transition phase… by Doug Noland on Credit Bubble Bulletin: These are not statements made to be provocative, but rather to […]
Schiff Gold: Buckle up for a crashing economy and more inflation
The Fed assures us an easy landing is doable with GDP “growth” at -1.4%. Does anyone wonder whether those trees brushing the wingtips mean we’ve already missed the runway? But, hey, inflation was transitory, too. So, buckle up…. by Michael Maharrey on Schiff Gold: Jerome Powell began hinting that inflation might be a problem last […]
Bill Blain: The Great Crash of 2022 – What happens next?
Yesterday’s market meltdown was heralded as a “capitulation trade”, but who knows? What we do know is that there is an awful lot to worry about, and the conditions for the BIG ONE have been building for decades. Time to re-read The Great Crash, 1929… by Bill Blain on Blain’s Morning Porridge: There is nothing […]
Chris Martenson: Will you starve to death this year?
No energy = no economy. It’s a very simple equation really, and one that is easily intuited. But somehow, we have unserious people making unserious decisions that will have entirely serious consequences and I’d like you to avoid them as much as possible…. by Chris Martenson on Peak Prosperity: Currently, diesel prices in the U.S. […]
Charles Hugh Smith: Is housing a bubble that’s about to crash?
We are all prone to believing the recent past is a reliable guide to the future. But in times of dynamic reversals, the past is an anchor thwarting our progress, not a forecast. So, what is the difference between a bubble? by Charles Hugh Smith: Are we heading into another real estate bubble / crash? […]
Lance Roberts: “Don’t be bearish” – the inevitable end of bad advice
Lance presents what looks like a sea of red out there right now. If you listened to the stock-market gurus who said it was poor form to be bearish, you might be drowning in it. Sometimes bad news is the best news you can hope for if it keeps you out of the storm. by […]
Jeffrey Tucker: Two Weeks to Flatten the GDP
No matter how bad the economic news is, the tendency is to downplay it, promise a turnaround soon, and otherwise claim that anyone who is worried is just being paranoid. We need only point to the claims from last fall that the inflation is merely “transitional….” by Jeffrey Tucker on The Brownstone Institute: What is […]
Bill Blain: The Russia and Chinese crises facing markets are of different magnitudes
Ultimately the economic history books will record Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a speedbump, and perhaps a triumph for a United Europe. The consequences of an Economic War with China could be much, much more significant! by Bill Blain on Blain’s Morning Porridge: The locus of market attention is no longer Ukraine – its China. […]
David Haggith: How bad was the stock crash for April fools?
When GDP on Thursday morning revealed we are, in fact, crashing into recession, and the market flew like a released bird into the heavens, I noted that the market’s lunacy was just what I expected from delusional investors. That relief rally from the earlier decline that had run pretty much all month long, I said, […]
Charles Hugh Smith: Not the 70s or the 20s: We’re in uncharted territory
The awakening of inflation after decades of slumber has triggered a flurry of comparisons to the 70s. The similarities and differences are setting up a sea-change revaluation of capital, resources and labor on the same scale as the transitions of the 1920s and 1970s… by Charles Hugh Smith on Of Two Minds: The awakening of […]
Bill Blaine: April exposes markets to some brutal truths
April 2022 will go down in market history as the month it all became obvious. But what? That the global economy is in need of repair, markets are overly euphoric and consumers can’t consume when they are broke… by Bill Blain on Blain’s Morning Porridge: Sometimes the penny takes an awful long time to drop. […]
Logan Kane: We might already technically be in a recession
Restaurants that were packed to the gills last year are only now about half full on weeknights. Road traffic is slowing. Stimulus has run its course, and the one-way train of profiting from stocks and crypto has reversed. It looks eerily like 2008: by Logan Kane on Seeking Alpha: The Great GDP Surprise Of 2022? […]
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