A 10% drop in stocks would send GDP sharply lower, Goldman finds … No one buys the Saudis’ explanation for Khashoggi’s murder … Gold and silver up as “safety play” amid stock/bond turmoil; “This is what a paper gold short squeeze looks like” … Best Of The Web 8 major forces shaping the future of […]
This Is What A Paper Gold Short Squeeze Looks Like
Huge recent imbalances in the gold futures market led many to predict that speculators (usually wrong at big turning points) would be forced to close out their historically extreme short bets. Put another way, too many traders were using gold futures contracts to bet that precious metals will go down, and when those bets are […]
Gold Is Becoming Cool Again
The sentiment shift is still subtle, but it’s both real and widespread. After a few years of being ignored and/or dismissed as basically useless, gold is cool again, attracting positive press and increasing accumulation by big investors. India, for instance, imported less gold than usual in the first part of this year but lately has […]
One More Thing To Worry About, Saudi Edition
Ah, Saudi Arabia, land of heat and contradictions. One day they’re jailing women’s rights activists for wanting to drive, the next day they’re dismembering still-living Washington Post journalists. And yet they can count the world’s capitalist democracies as friends, because today’s dysfunctional economic/geopolitical system depends on both Saudi oil and Saudi willingness to keep their […]
Top Ten Videos — October 14
Chris Duane: “Death line crossed of rate reaper” … Mike Maloney: The new index that screams “market bubble” … Peter Schiff: The bear begins as rising rates crash stocks … Harry Dent on “the future of the markets after last week’s major drops” … Max Keiser on “the catastrophic breakdown in trust” … Michael Pento: […]
Last Week Was Just A Taste Of The Coming Gold Short Squeeze
The gold and silver futures markets got even more unbalanced last week, with speculators (who are usually wrong at the extremes) going as short as they’ve ever been and commercials going even more long. Here’s the gold data in chart form: These are historically huge imbalances that – if the action in the paper markets […]
Rising Interest Rates Start Popping Bubbles — The End Of This Expansion Is Now In Sight
Towards the end of economic expansions, interest rates usually start to rise as strong loan demand bumps up against central bank tightening. At first the effect on the broader economy is minimal, so consumers, companies and governments don’t let a slight uptick in financing costs interfere with their borrowing and spending. But eventually rising rates […]
Notice How Quickly Market Psychology Changed?
“How did you go bankrupt?” “Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.” ― Ernest Hemingway, The Sun Also Rises On the surface, nothing much changed last week. The Fed, as expected, raised short-term interest rates very modestly, the US, Canada and Mexico cut a new NAFTA deal (kind of a pleasant surprise), unemployment fell again, Trump continued […]
US Interest Rates Are Spiking Again: Why This Is A Huge Deal
This morning’s jobs report was stronger than expected, which – combined with Amazon’s dramatic increase in its minimum wage to $15/hr — implies rising wages going forward. The bond market reacted as you’d expect to the prospect of higher wage inflation, with the yield on 10-year Treasuries hitting its highest level in five years. This […]
Another Trillion-Dollar Unfunded Liability, Part 2: Running The Hurricane Numbers
The idea that as more people move to Hurricane Alley and other storm-prone places, the future cost of those storms will rise – and that we’re not accounting for that future cost and are therefore likely to be shocked by it – makes intuitive sense. Now some recent studies have fleshed out the numbers, making […]
Italy Calls Europe’s Bluff — And The Euro Loses Either Way
When Italy elected a bunch of rowdy populists back in March, the rest of the eurozone assumed (or at least hoped) that the weight of responsibility would bring Rome back into line. But so far the Italians appear to be serious about ending austerity and forcing the ECB to finance their spending ambitions. The just-passed […]
12 Rules For Investing In Junior Miners
Stock discussion boards can be exhausting places, with nuggets of wisdom and occasionally actionable information buried in mountains of invective and aimless meandering. But the nuggets are sometimes worth the search. Here — courtesy of a poster called doourdiligence — are 12 rules for junior miner investing that would, if followed, make the sector a […]
The Fed’s In A Box And People Are Starting To Notice
It’s long been an article of faith in the sound money community that the Fed, by bailing out every dysfunctional financial entity in sight, would eventually be forced to choose between the deflationary collapse of a mountain of bad debt and the inflationary chaos of a plunging currency. That generation-defining crossroad is finally in sight. […]
Marin Katusa’s Top Gold Miner Takeover Candidates
Commodities analyst Marin Katusa makes a compelling case that regardless of what gold does in the near term, some miners are likely to be bought out at nice premiums to current prices. Here are two of them: The Right Price: Are Pretium Resources and Detour Gold for Sale? The gold market is in a funk. […]
Why We’re Ungovernable, Part 15: Germany’s Merkel Demoted To Figurehead
You don’t see “Germany” and “ungovernable” in the same headline very often. But that might be about to change, as Chancellor Angela Merkel, for the past decade the central pillar of Europe’s Establishment, loses influence both at home and abroad. First came a wave of populist (read anti-euro, anti-austerity, anti-immigration) gains across Europe, culminating with […]
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