If corporate earnings rise in 2019 like Wall Street analysts expect, stocks are a screaming buy at these bear-market levels. But earnings won’t rise and stocks are not a buy, says money manager Michael Pento: Earnings Recession of 2019 President Trump’s plan to stimulate the economy, known as The Tax Cut and Jobs Act, was […]
Breaking News/Best Of The Web
Morgan Stanley calls it: “We are in a bear market” … Deutsche Bank: “Last week is a dress rehearsal for the credit problems ahead” … CNBC: Brace for corporate defaults as Chinese firms are ‘under increasing pressure’ … Gold and silver up from recent lows; “The last time this happened, silver prices surged immensely” … […]
Top Ten Videos — November 18
Dan Oliver: We learned nothing from the 2008 crisis … Michael Alkin: The US auto industry is about to implode … Rick Rule vs Marin Katusa: Who is the top stock picker? … Peter Schiff: Investors are oblivious as multiple bubbles pop … Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen portend a painful reckoning … […]
Marin Katusa: Tax Loss Selling Season Will Produce Some “Particularly Juicy Gold Stock Opportunities”
Investors with beaten-down gold/silver mining shares in their portfolio have three choices: Dump those losers for the tax loss before year-end; hold on in the hope that they’ve bottomed and will go up next year; or take advantage of others’ tax loss selling to pick up the bargains thus created. Commodities analyst Marin Katusa recommends […]
GE, Nvidia, Nordstrom, Bitcoin All Tank, And The Fed Notices
The sense that something isn’t right out there just got a lot stronger. And the Fed, in response, is now tiptoeing back towards QE. Let’s start with the sudden bad news: Chipmaker Nvidia plunges after missing on revenue and guidance (CNBC) – Nvidia stock fell as much as 19 percent Thursday after the company reported […]
As Oil Plunges, Energy Junk Bonds Turn Dangerous — Again
Back in 2104 oil was falling and hundreds of billions of dollars of energy junk bonds and leveraged loans looked to be at risk. Wolf Street had this to say at the time: Oil and Gas Bloodbath Spreads to Junk Bonds, Leveraged Loans. Defaults Next The price of oil has plunged nearly 40% since June […]
A Palpable Sense Of Panic
Based the last few days’ headlines you’d never know the world is in year 10 of a pretty good expansion. Check this out: Not terrified of a recession? These stocks hint you should be Cyclical commodities continue to weaken, gold moves in relation Italian banks on verge of new crisis on €400 million hole at […]
Yet Another Trillion-Dollar Unfunded Liability, California Wildfires Edition
Yesterday an entire California town burned down. Paridise, CA has (had) 27,000 residents and over 1,000 buildings, and now it’s pretty much gone. A fire started nearby on a windy day and within hours everything was ash and cinders. That fire and several others are still expanding across the state, threatening tens of thousands of […]
Oil And General Electric Join The Roll-Over Parade
First developing countries blew up. Then real estate topped and started to roll over. Now oil has entered what CNBC just called its “longest losing streak in three decades.” The oil rout just became a bear market for U.S. crude In a volatile turnabout, the U.S. crude benchmark fell into a bear market Thursday just […]
The Election’s Finally Over. Now Things Can Go Back To “Normal”: Rising Interest Rates, Rising Debt, Rising Volatility
As contentious as the US midterm elections were, there was never a scenario in which they mattered. Any possible configuration of Republicans and Democrats in the House and Senate would have yielded pretty much the same economy going forward: Ever-higher debt, upward trending interest rates and (through the combination of those two) rising volatility. So […]
The World’s Smartest Investors Can’t Figure Out The Markets – And That’s A Really Bad Thing
Hedge fund managers sit at the top of the financial world’s food chain. They’re generally seen as the smartest money managers, and their companies have the most flexibility to pursue new opportunities. The result is supposed to be the best possible returns – for clients who can afford the high fees. But lately things haven’t […]
New York City Joins The “Imminent Bankruptcy” Club
The “public pension crisis” is the kind of subject that’s easy to over-analyze, in part because there are so many different examples of bad behavior out there and in part because the aggregate damage these entities will do when they start blowing up is immense. But most people see pensions as essentially an accounting issue […]
Why We’re Ungovernable, Part 15: After Germany’s Merkel Comes Chaos
After a long, initially-successful run promoting European integration and mass immigration, German Chancellor Angela Merkel saw the bottom fall out of her political fortunes this year. This morning she stepped down as leader of the formerly-dominant Christian Democrat party and promised not run again when her term as Chancellor ends in 2021. What happens next […]
Here Comes The Housing Bust “Reverse Wealth Effect,” Australia Edition
For the past few years, homeowners just about everywhere have been able to finesse life’s problems by thinking “at least my house is going up.” This home equity accretion allowed them to buy stuff on credit, safe in the knowledge that even as they maxed out yet another credit card their net worth continued to […]
This Is What A Paper Gold Short Squeeze Looks Like
Huge recent imbalances in the gold futures market led many to predict that speculators (usually wrong at big turning points) would be forced to close out their historically extreme short bets. Put another way, too many traders were using gold futures contracts to bet that precious metals will go down, and when those bets are […]
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