The past few years have been a feeding frenzy for most major asset classes. Stocks blew through previous highs, as did trophy real estate, fine art, and, most recently, Treasury bonds. A big part of the reason for what came to be called the everything bubble was the sense that with everyone else making easy […]
Gold Tests Resistance – Again. Will The Sixth Time Be The Charm?
Here we go again. After a couple of big trading sessions, gold – for the sixth time in five years – is approaching the $1,350-ish level that has, each previous time, stopped it cold. It looks like fundamentals, including the Fed’s capitulation to choppy stock markets and trade-war related economic uncertainties, are trumping gold’s usual […]
Silver Speculators Say It’s Time To Start Buying
The gold futures market took a big step towards bullish — or at least neutral — in the past week. Speculators (usually wrong at big turning points) scaled back their long bets while commercials (usually right at turning points) reduced their net short positions. This is progress, but still leaves speculators long and commercials short. […]
Brutal Gold Futures Action Explains Last Week’s Big Price Decline
Just when it looked like gold futures — which still, unfortunately, dictate the price of physical precious metals — were ready to turn bullish, last week’s commitment of traders report (COT) revealed that commercial traders (usually right at big turns) had gone massively short while speculators (usually wrong at turning points) went aggressively long. That […]
Gold: Seasonality Bearish, Futures Turning Bullish
Early 2019 looked like a great set-up for gold, but failed to live up to its billing. A nice December-through-March run took the price back to the $1,350 resistance that had repelled it four times in the past five years. And that was that. No penetration and fast spike into the $1,500s. Just another failed […]
Interesting Junior Gold Miner Tidbit
It’s been a boring few years for gold miners in general and junior gold miners in particular. The metal has been in a trading range, capital has been relatively scarce, and major deals even scarcer. But under the surface things are bubbling, as a handful of emerging players put up good numbers and make their […]
Jay Taylor: Under “Basel III” Rules, Gold Becomes Money!
In his latest newsletter commodities analyst Jay Taylor notes that a very important date is approaching: In 2018, central banks added nearly 23 million ounces of gold, up 74% from 2017. This is the highest annual purchase rate increase since 1971, and the second-highest rate in history. Russia was the biggest buyer. And not surprisingly, […]
The Coming Wave Of Junior Gold Miner Buyouts
Spend a little time researching gold mining stocks and you’ll notice that once you get past a handful of familiar names there’s a long list of companies you’ve never heard of. Most of these are the proverbial “hole in the ground with a liar standing next to it.” But a fair number are real miners […]
Three Junior Miners You’ll Be Hearing About
In the notoriously hype-ridden junior miner space there’s never a shortage of great-sounding stories. Most fail to pan out, which means investors who survive in this sector are first and foremost cynics. Still, some juniors do end up succeeding in a big way. Here are three that have a good chance: Great Bear Resources A […]
Robert Moriarty’s New Book Will Save You A Lot Of Money
If you’re paying attention you’re probably 1) watching gold rise along with global instability, and 2) wondering if it’s finally time to load up on precious metals mining stocks. But of course you have no idea how to do this successfully, because hardly anyone does. Robert Moriarty – veteran mining analyst and proprietor of the […]
Hello Old Friend…Gold Nears $1,350 Resistance That Has Repelled It Four Times In 5 Years
The past five years have been baffling for gold bugs. In an environment of massive central bank money creation, rising government deficits and a populist takeover of many countries’ political systems – all of which should be great for safe haven assets – gold has spiked to around $1,350 four times, only to be smacked […]
Sudden Sentiment Shift: The Mainstream Rediscovers Precious Metals
It’s amazing what a few weeks of outperformance will do for an asset class. Gold and silver, after being pretty much ignored for the past few years, are now the shiny new toys of the investment world. From just the past couple of days: Highest Central Bank Buying in 50 Years Drives Growth in Gold […]
If You Could Design A Perfect World For Gold…
Are you sick of your gold just sitting there when it was supposed to have long since made you rich? Have you been fantasizing about a world in which your gold really does make you rich? If so you’re in good – or at least numerous – company. So let’s sketch out such a world. […]
Gold Is Up Lately. Why Does It Feel So Disappointing?
Since December gold (light blue line) has outperformed the average stock (dark blue) by a nice margin. So why does this feel like such a let-down? Because the stars were aligned for a much bigger move. The structure of the late 2018 futures market had speculators historically short – which normally portends a big price […]
Jay Taylor: Gold Is The Go-To Safe Haven Of 2019
2019 is looking like one of those either/or years, where growing financial instability leads to either a 2008-style financial crash or another round of asset inflation. In Jay Taylor’s latest newsletter, he concludes that both scenarios are good for gold: Which Safe Haven Markets Will Dominate in 2019? If we are, as I believe, on […]
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